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Palestinian voters face moderate versus militant choice

by Daily Star, Lebanon
RAMALLAH, West Bank: In only the second elections in their history, Palestinians have a choice between two sharply contrasting figures to succeed Yasser Arafat - a feisty militant and a moderate from the old guard.
While PLO leader Mahmud Abbas represents a man with whom the Jewish state says it can do business, Israel's government has vowed to keep Fatah firebrand Marwan Barghouti behind bars for decades to come.

Barghouti, 45, the West Bank head of Arafat's mainstream Fatah faction and a main inspiration on the Palestinian street behind the intifada, has long been seen as the natural successor of the late leader.

Barghouti was condemned in June to five life terms in connection with deadly attacks inside Israel.

Palestinians see him as the only post-Arafat leader who enjoys sufficient legitimacy to both impose his will on militants and of being capable of talking to the Israelis.

Abbas, for his part, has been an outspoken critic of the "militarization" of the uprising.

On Nov. 28, Abbas pledged to stop anyone but Palestinian security forces from carrying weapons, whereas Barghouti has urged the Palestinians to keep up the four-year-old revolt against Israeli occupation.

"We must retain our national unity, our commitment to the intifada and our commitment to real democracy and the establishment of law and order," he said in a message issued on the day of Arafat's death, on Nov. 11.

A Fatah co-founder in the 1960's, Abbas has long been convinced negotiations hold the key to resolving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. In 1974, he became the first high-ranking Palestinian to initiate contact with Israelis.

Barghouti has been known as a tough politician implacably opposed to the occupation and ready to mobilize public opinion - or according to the Israelis, armed resistance - against the Jewish state.

From the early days of the intifada the Israelis accused him of orchestrating the crowds

of stone-throwing Palestinian youths who clashed almost every day with Israeli troops.

But Barghouti, who was a major target when the army launched a huge campaign against militants in the West Bank in the spring of 2002, has always insisted that "the people run the intifada, not me."

Educated in political science at Beir Zeit University near Ramallah, and fluent in English and Hebrew, he already spent several of his teenage years in an Israeli jail before being exiled to Tunis during a first intifada in 1988.

Before Barghouti dramatically threw his hat into the ring for the Jan. 9 polls at the 11th hour for candidate registration on Wednesday night, Abbas was the clear front-runner.

The race without Barghouti recalled the one-sided 1996 elections, two years after the start of autonomy under the Oslo accords, when Arafat was the undisputed choice of the people.

While widely regarded as a polished and moderate politician, Abbas, 69, is more admired abroad than at home and lacks the charisma of his younger challenger for the post of Palestinian Authority president.

Abbas' candidacy on behalf of Fatah, the largest party in the PLO, won an overwhelming endorsement of its revolutionary council last week when Barghouti was still saying he would not enter the race.

Briefly Arafat's prime minister before walking out after a bruising power struggle for control of the sprawling Palestinian security apparatus, Abbas nonetheless pledged to follow in the strongman's footsteps.

His formal appointment as PLO leader immediately after Arafat's death has galvanized international efforts to rescue the moribund Middle East peace process, which ground to a halt after he left office in 2003.

A Washington favorite, Abbas held talks with President George W. Bush, who cold-shouldered Arafat, in the White House in July 2003.

But very few Palestinians mourned Abbas's departure from the premier's post, as many believed he had grown too close to both Bush and Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon.

http://www.dailystar.com.lb/article.asp?edition_id=10&categ_id=2&article_id=10647
by Daily Star, Lebanon
Fatah leader Mahmoud Abbas reiterated Thursday that he was the sole presidential candidate for the dominant Palestinian party as senior Fatah members rallied around their leader.

Many condemned the surprise move by jailed Palestinian chief Marwan Barghouti to run against Abbas as divisive.

Foreign minister Nabil Shaath was unconvinced Barghouti's name would appear on ballot papers.

"He might later on decide to withdraw in favor of the Fatah candidate, Mahmoud Abbas, to whom he has already pledged his support and pledged his total cooperation," he said in Brussels.

Barghouti served as West Bank chief of Fatah before Israel arrested him in 2002, but his decision to run has upset many in the movement and plunged Palestinian politics into turmoil, dampening hopes for peacemaking with Israel after Yasser Arafat's death.

U.S. officials tried to steer clear of the Barghouti controversy but speaking on Thursday Secretary of State Colin Powell admitted his candidacy will cause problems.

"He is in Israeli custody for crimes he was found guilty of, which makes it somewhat problematic for his candidacy," Powell said during a brief visit to Haiti.

Israel, which has accused Barghouti of leading Al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigades, is in no mood to allow him to run from anywhere but solitary confinement.

"He will have to take part from inside the prison where he is incarcerated," Prime Minister Ariel Sharon told a news conference in Tel Aviv.

Fatah MP and ex-parliament speaker, Rafiq al-Natsheh, said "even our brother Marwan said he would give his vote to Abu Mazen (Abbas)" before his U-turn.

"Any departure from Fatah's consensus is a departure from Fatah and will have negative results for the movement in the elections," he added.

Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak predicted Abbas would win but also said Barghouti's candidacy would "divide the Palestinians".

Even some of Barghouti's traditional supporters condemned his decision.

Zakaria Zubeidi, head of the armed Fatah offshoot Al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigades in its Jenin stronghold, said Barghouti should not run against Fatah's choice.

"We are against the candidacy of Marwan because it is contrary to the decision of the central committee of Fatah which unanimously chose Abu Mazen," he said.

Palestinian central elections commission chief, Rami al-Hamadallah, announced Thursday that Abbas and Barghouti were among a total of 10 nominees.

Also included is dark horse candidate Hassan Khreisheh, the acting speaker of parliament, who has a reputation as a vigorous anti-corruption campaigner and whom some have tipped as a compromise candidate.

Hopes for an uncomplicated transition suffered another blow when the militant group Islamic Jihad announced Thursday that it would boycott the Jan. 9 vote, joining the larger of the two violent Islamic groups, Hamas, which on Wednesday called on its members to stay away.

Barghouti's decision to stand for elections was made just five days after he had firmly announced he would not run and was supporting Abbas.

Abbas, who had been expected to win the contest at a canter, commands a fraction of Barghouti's popular support.

At a news conference in Gaza, he made no direct reference to Barghouti but pointedly referred to himself as Fatah's candidate.

"Fatah has chosen a sole candidate and I believe that the Fatah will do its upmost" to ensure his victory.

While Abbas enjoys the support of the Palestinian establishment and would be embraced by Israel, the election of Barghouti would likely scupper any hope of a rapprochement between the two sides in the conflict.

Israel has said it planned to ease conditions in the West Bank and Gaza so as not to interfere with the campaign and the voting. Since Arafat's death, the level of violence between the two sides has decreased.

Sharon said Israel would carry out military actions only if it sensed an imminent attack or if it were attacked.

"If there is quiet, we of course will not act," Sharon said.

In Gaza City, Hamas leader Mahmoud Zahar said talks among Palestinian factions could lead to a halt to attacks against Israel. After meeting Abbas, Zahar said if the Israelis "stop their aggression against our people, I think through the negotiations ... we can reach a final agreement" on a truce, the first time a Hamas leader has said clearly that such a cease-fire is attainable. - Agencies

http://www.dailystar.com.lb/article.asp?edition_id=10&categ_id=2&article_id=10659
by UK Guardian
Conal Urquhart in Ramallah
Friday December 3, 2004
The Guardian

On a roundabout in the centre of Ramallah, the Palestinians' political capital, young men hang out around a steel structure guarded by plastic lions. Aged between 18 and 30 and dressed in leather jackets and jeans, they should be the kind of voters that the jailed Palestinian militant, Marwan Barghouti, can rely on in next month's election.

Mr Barghouti, the former leader of Fatah youth, announced on Wednesday that he would, after all, be running for president of the Palestinian Authority from his Israeli prison cell, where he is serving five life sentences.

The images of Mr Barghouti, shackled and defiant after his conviction, helped make him the most popular Palestinian leader after the late Yasser Arafat.

Yesterday, however, the most popular candidate by far among the young men in Ramallah's Manara Square was the former prime minister Mahmoud Abbas, 69, (also known as Abu Mazen), rather than the 45-year-old hero of the resistance, Mr Barghouti.

In a straw poll of 15, seven said they would vote for Abu Mazen, three for Mr Barghouti, one for an Islamic candidate, one for a leftwing candidate and one for an independent. Two had yet to make up their minds.

Nidal al Huti, 25, said the Palestinians were losing every day. "We need someone who can offer a better situation. Abu Mazen has the support of the Americans and he is the only one who can improve our lives."

Ahmad Abu Arqub, 21, said he would not vote for any of the candidates. "I want a president who cares about our lives and the problems we face. Abu Mazen and Barghouti and the rest only care about their position in Fatah and satisfying the Israelis. I'd prefer an Islamic candidate. They might change our laws and that would begin improvement."

Campaigners for Mr Barghouti sought yesterday to explain why he had decided to stand as an independent after saying last week that he would support Abu Mazen as the official Fatah candidate. Saeb Nmr, the head of the Free Barghouti Campaign, said Mr Barghouti had been pressured into standing down.

"He then realised he was witnessing a celebration of the end of the period of Yasser Arafat and the theory that his end will give peace a chance. But this analysis lays all the blame at the feet of the intifada and Arafat and clears [the Israeli prime minister Ariel] Sharon of all his war crimes. Barghouti renounces all this."

Mr Barghouti's candidature is based, his supporters say, on a middle way between the Hamas hardliners, who want only resistance, and moderates such as Abu Mazen, who reject resistance and emphasise negotiation.

According to his supporters, Mr Barghouti wants peace but insists that resistance - either violent or non-violent - must continue as long as there is occupation. In the same way that Israel has negotiated while it continues its occupation of Palestinian land, Mr Barghouti advocates negotiation with Israel at the same time as resistance to occupation.

Most of the Palestinian political establishment are angry at his decision to stand, fearing that he will cause divisions within Fatah. But others feel that, by standing and losing, Mr Barghouti will give Abu Mazen much-needed credibility.

A source close to Abu Mazen said of Mr Barghouti: "Once again, Fatah has become polarised around generations and not politics because there is little separating Abu Mazen and Barghouti politically."

One source close to the Palestinian political elite said Mr Barghouti had taken a "stupid, uncalculated risk". Another said: "If he had waited, he could have become something, but he has played his cards early and badly."

But Ahmad Ghnaim, a Palestinian Authority minister, told the Guardian yesterday that he would be backing Mr Barghouti's presidential run. "He was never given a chance to represent Fatah. At the revolutionary council meeting, someone said, 'Abu Mazen is our candidate,' and 103 people voted for, and I and one other voted against."

In a letter to Mr Ghnaim this week, Mr Barghouti wrote: "I will run to defend the resistance and the intifada and the history of Fatah."

Mr Ghnaim said Mr Barghouti was offering the Palestinian people a democratic option. "They can choose the intifada and vote for Barghouti. If they choose differently we will accept that."

http://www.guardian.co.uk/israel/Story/0,2763,1365273,00.html
by gehrig
Barghouti's in prison for ordering terror attacks against Israeli civilians and defends those attacks as morally acceptable -- if he's elected, not even the leftest of the left in Israel is going to give him the time of day. That's, in fact, the main argument for the popularity of Barghouti: the Israelis don't want anything to do with him. The question is whether that's a good thing or a bad thing. So the Palestinian people are facing a choice -- should they go for a symbolic victory, even recognizing that in doing so they're throwing away their first post-Arafat chance to make their own lives better and make actual progress toward an independent Palestinan state? Or will pragmatism win after all?

article: "Nidal al Huti, 25, said the Palestinians were losing every day. 'We need someone who can offer a better situation. Abu Mazen has the support of the Americans and he is the only one who can improve our lives.' "

That's the kind of statement that reinforces my belief in the fundamental sanity of the Palestinian people -- the kind which was thwarted under the regime of Chairman Arafat.

@%<
by Death to Colonialism
Oppression must be resisted by any means necessary.
by Arab Invaders, OCCUPIERS and colonizers
"Death to Colonialism"

Good point!! Arabs have invaded, occupied and colonized ALL of the Middle East, India and North Africa...time to send them back to the Arabian
Peninsula...
by gehrig
nessie-nym: "Oppression must be resisted by any means necessary."

Translation: "Suicide bombings at shopping malls and blues joints and buses? What's immoral about that, as long as I describe it using the right euphemisms? And as long as it's somebody else doing the dying while I'm doing the cheering? I mean, after all, you didn't see Barghouti strapping one of those bombs on _himself,_ did you? No, he probably just sat back and muttered euphemistic platitudes about 'any means necessary.'"

@%<
by haaretz via gehrig
HIDF officers in the Gaza Strip report a 25 percent reduction in terrorist attacks since Yasser Arafat's death three weeks ago and a reduction of less than 10 percent in the West Bank. In the West Bank, the attempted attacks focus on sniping on IDF outposts. Attacks that would have greater resonance, like firing Qassam rockets into Israel and launching suicide bombers, have been sharply reduced. Five rockets were fired from the Strip in the past two weeks. They were not aimed at Sderot but at communities around it. In addition, nobody assumed responsibility for them. Apparently, the rockets were fired by members of the popular committees, groups that quit Fatah.

http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/509932.html

@%<
by Re:Gehrig
Attacks on Israel have decreased following Arafat's deaths not becasue Arafat was behind the attacks or even encouraged them, but because the militant Palestinians groups don't want to be seen as disrupting the Palestinian elections in January. Some of this is purely political; if you run against someone like Abbas who is favored by Israel and the US, you have to run as close as possible to his views to capture the largest percent of the population at the polls. But some is merely pragmatic; Hamas is saying it will boycott the election but they dont want to be seen as using violence to divide the Palestinian public (there is a strong view right or wrong among Palestinians that Isrealis are trying to create a civil war between Palestinian factions and Hamas doent want to be seen as a pawn of Sharon)
by gehrig
I agree with you, which is why I take it as a positive sign that Palestinian militants seem to have pragmatism in mind, and that the pragmatism is taking the form of less violence.

@%<
by on the other hand
Hamas rejects ceasefire with Israel
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/E4D19123-9DD3-11D1-B44E-006097071264.htm

Certain Palestinian factions (within Hamas and the more militant groups) may wish to engage in some large attack on Israel right before the election to create disruption. There is even a chance the more miltant groups can gain by encouraging an Israeli crackdown since part of the reason Abbas is unpopular personally is because he is seen as the choice of Israel and the US and a candidate that opposes all attacks on Israeli (including IDF troops in the West Bank and Gaza). Militant groups would probably lose by being seen as devisive but there are enough small factions and little real control so an upsurge in violence may occur without the consent of any leadership of such groups.

The lull in violence could also be due to either a concious or unconcious reaction to the way media coverage of Iraq effects coverage of Palestinian issues. With the entire Arab World upset at the massacre in Falluja, its not a great time to engage in attacks if coverage of Israeli troops shooting at Palestinians is going to be overshadowed by the much larger number of deaths in Iraq.
by Aaron Aarons
Why doesn't Fatah nominate Ariel Sharon for P.A. president, instead of one of his Quislings like Abbas? If Sharon won, he'd probably do a better job of defending Palestine against Israel than Abbas would!

Seriously, how can anbody who isn't waiting in line to suck Israeli and AmeriKKKan cock support somebody like Abbas?
by Critical Thinker
why don't you address your question to all the Fatah members in the disputed territories?

It really boggles the mind how any non-Palestinian living in the West can even seriously contemplate that all Palestinian backers of Abbas are sucking Israeli and American cock and throwing their support behind a Quisling.
It also begs the questions of whether these Westerners even have the Palestinians' best interests in mind and whether they aren't seeking to radicalize the Palestinians even more for their own anti-Israeli ends. Not to mention the embedded condescending attitude toward any Palestinian who seems to support a cessation of violence against Israel in any capacity.
by gehrig
Aarons: "Seriously, how can anbody who isn't waiting in line to suck Israeli and AmeriKKKan cock support somebody like Abbas?"

Wow, that's really a pretty amazing comment. I hadn't realized you were _that_ far out. Here the Palestinian people are getting ready to make their first real national decision on the basis of their national will, now that they're freed of the Arafat curse, and in swooshes a guy from San Francisco to tell them that they just don't understand what's in their own best interest but _he_ does.

If the Palestinians choose Abbas, it will be because they've decided that he offers the best path to the creation of the Palestinian state.

If anything short of a Palestinian decision to force the complete overthrow of the state of Israel strikes you as a disappointing outcome, deal with it, because it's not up to you to decide what path the Palestinians take.

@%<
by Aaron Aarons
Apparently, it's not OK for a person from San Francisco (Berkeley, actually!) to express negative opinions about a candidate in the Palestinian elections, but it is OK for the C.I.A., Mossad, etc. to virtually impose that candidate on the Palestinians, using the threat of greater terror against them if they choose somebody who actually stands up for their rights.

By the way, why is it OK for the Zionist guy from wherever gehrig lives to say very nasty things about the previous Palestinian leader -- Yassir Arafat -- but it's not OK for this anti-Zionist guy from Berkeley to say equally nasty things about he whom the U.S. and Israel are trying to impose as the next Palestinian "leader" -- Agent Abbas?
by james

No one believes the Palestinians could possibly self govern, they need supervision from a responsible and more evolved culture so they can learn how to behave in a civilized manner.
by Critical Thinker
>>>"...but it is OK for the C.I.A., Mossad, etc. to virtually impose that candidate on the Palestinians, using the threat of greater terror against them if they choose somebody who actually stands up for their rights."<<<

This claim is ridiculously baseless. It would be amusing to see how anyone would try to back it up.

>>>"By the way, why is it OK for the Zionist guy from wherever gehrig lives to say very nasty things about the previous Palestinian leader -- Yassir Arafat -- but it's not OK for this anti-Zionist guy from Berkeley to say equally nasty things about he whom the U.S. and Israel are trying to impose as the next Palestinian "leader" -- Agent Abbas?"<<<

Preferring candidate X over other candidates hardly registers as an act of imposition.
More importantly, does the anti-Zionist guy have *any* sort of proof to offer for the ludicrous allegation that Mahmoud Abbas is an American or US agent?
by Critical Thinker
The last few words should read "American or Israeli agent?"
by Aaron Aarons
"Preferring candidate X over other candidates hardly registers as an act of imposition."

Agreed! But when the preference is expressed by those who have the power to cause great harm to those who are doing the nominating and electing, and who have a proven track record of doing great harm to those people whenever they are displeased with them, it is an imposition. And when those same forces beat up candidates who they oppose, as the Israelis did to Mustafa Barghouti*, the imposition is even clearer.

* Not to be confused with the more famous Marwan Barghouti, a distant relative. See:
http://www.democracynow.org/article.pl?sid=04/12/10/1450211
http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/objects/pages/PrintArticleEn.jhtml?itemNo=511860
by Critical Thinker
First off, I've been aware all along of the difference between Mustafa and Marwan Barghouti.


>>>"But when the preference is expressed by those who have the power to cause great harm to those who are doing the nominating and electing, and who have a proven track record of doing great harm to those people whenever they are displeased with them, it is an imposition."<<<

Even if the assertion herein about that supposedly proven track record were correct (it's not), the preference still needs to be distinguished from an imposition.

>>>"And when those same forces beat up candidates who they oppose, as the Israelis did to Mustafa Barghouti*, the imposition is even clearer. "<<<

Assuming the incident indeed unfolded the way Mustafa Barghouti claimed it did, that's no proof of an intent of imposition. Those particular troops appear not only to not have identified him as a renowned activist, but also to not have been aware he had declared his candidacy for the election; and he had failed to notify the Israeli forces in advance of his arrival. It's likely that the abusive soldiers beat him up on their own initiative rather than by a cue from any of the military's brass.

As for Abbas, it should be noted that Israel isn't crazy about him either. Official Israel seems to regard him as the least of evils at this juncture.
by gehrig
Aaron, before you go any further, I'd like to see your evidence that the C.I.A. "imposed" Abu Abbas.

@%<
by friend of palestinian
all the palestinians I've spoken to in the US (and several of them were expelled in 1948) are extremely cynical about the election, believing that since the USA and Israel want Abbas they will install him regardless of the will of the people. So, perhaps the CIA isn't actively promoting him but the perception is that Abbas (abu mazen) is the USA/Israel stooge
by Arab Ethnic Cleansers
"and several of them were expelled in 1948"

hey cool!1 Did you speak to any of the 1 million EXPELLED (cleansed) from the Arabian Peninsula in 1992?
§?
by non-wacko
I have no idea what "1 million" were "cleansed" I know arabs have killled hundreds of thousands if not millions in Sudan, non-arab africans have killed 5 million of each other in Congo, Iran and Iraq killed nearly a million of each other in the 80s. And 6 million jews were killed in the holocaust, 12 million or more were killed by Stalin, we don't know how many hundred million african-americans were killed during slavery for the color of their skin, or after slavery, or after the civil rights movement. I don't think that number is, in the words of Rumsfeld "knowable".

But what I do know is that racism is wrong. Whether its directed at whites, non-whites, arabs, jews, muslims, christians, africans or asians it is Wrong, with a capital W.

So please, just think about it a little more honestly before you think... that's right! those damn racist _______ (insert group here)
by Give'em a brak, will ya?
" So please, just think about it a little more honestly before you think... that's right! those damn racist _______ (insert group here) "

It must be acknowledged that Arabs simply can't control their behaviour...it's always someone else's fault.
Take for Example Black September...20,000 palestinians slaughtered by Jordan in less then a month.
Hey, how about hama? That's when the Syrian peace movement massacred 25,000 Sunnis. First they fire bombed Hama, then sent in ground troops to "aid" the survivors to death..that took less than two weeks!
by gehrig
" It must be acknowledged that Arabs simply can't control their behaviour."

A blatantly racist statement.

@%<
by Counseling for Arabs
"" It must be acknowledged that Arabs simply can't control their behaviour."

A blatantly racist statement."

OK then...Not ALL Arabs can't control their behaviour...Some of them do it on purpose.
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